Author Archives: William Hooke

Tim.

So live, that when thy summons comes to join   The innumerable caravan, which moves   To that mysterious realm, where each shall take   His chamber in the silent halls of death,   Thou go not, like the quarry-slave at night,   Scourged to … Continue reading

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The Oroville Dam… and extrapolation to the national implications.

Two weeks ago, the risks posed by the Oroville dam occupied relatively few minds. But in the days since its near-failure and the evacuation of 200,000 people downstream, it’s become a household word. The news media have devoted much ink … Continue reading

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To march? Or not to march?

“…ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country.” – John F. Kennedy. “If you want a barge to move, and you kick it, you just hurt your foot. But if you … Continue reading

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Meanwhile, outside the Beltway…

For me, the week after the annual AMS meeting each year is usually a week of catch-up in my home DC-based office. But this year finds me instead in Chapel Hill, North Carolina. I’m sitting in as a member of … Continue reading

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Amicus.

Amicus briefs are legal documents filed in appellate court cases by non-litigants with a strong interest in the subject matter. The briefs advise the court of relevant, additional information or arguments that the court might wish to consider. An amicus … Continue reading

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AMS and the “Horton-Hears-a-Who” strategy for making a difference.

“A person’s a person, no matter how small.”   “This,” cried the Mayor, “is your town’s darkest hour! The time for all Whos who have blood that is red To come to the aid of their country!” he said. “We’ve … Continue reading

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Want to make a difference in today’s political turmoil? Think like a meteorologist.

Do not answer a fool according to his folly, or you yourself will be just like him. – Proverbs 26:4 (NIV) Answer a fool according to his folly, or he will be wise in his own eyes. – Proverbs 26:5 … Continue reading

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The AMS has changed my life. How has it changed yours?

I’m Bill Hooke, and the AMS changed my life. A bit of departure from the usual fare for these posts. The 97th annual AMS meeting is wrapping up here in Seattle. Exhibitors are breaking down their booths and displays. The … Continue reading

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The Signal and the Noise

“Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.” – Nate Silver[1] “The … Continue reading

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More inaugural augury. The outlook for ethics, (and the 2017 AMS Annual Meeting).

Ethics: that branch of philosophy dealing with values relating to human conduct, with respect to the rightness and wrongness of certain actions and to the goodness and badness of the motives and ends of such actions. “Most people, when they … Continue reading

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