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Recent Posts
- Fire and Ice: a forecast for the end of the world – and sometimes, for the same-day’s national weather.
- The Indonesia tsunami of December 26, 2004
- Community-level stress tests (with a nudge from AI).
- Salient differences between aviation safety and community resilience.
- We manage other risks. Why do natural disasters pose a special challenge?
Recent Comments
- John Plodinec on Fire and Ice: a forecast for the end of the world – and sometimes, for the same-day’s national weather.
- Mona Behl on The Indonesia tsunami of December 26, 2004
- John Plodinec on Community-level stress tests (with a nudge from AI).
- John Plodinec on After Hurricane Milton, whither Florida? (And the other 49 of these United States?)
- John Plodinec on Science diplomacy. A forecast
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Search Results for: disasters are nonlinear
Our Age has a name…The Age of Nonlinearity.
“Linear problems are all the same. Nonlinear problems are all different.” – Robert Hooke (1918-2003) My father, a mathematician, once shared this offhand remark, at a time when I was still in school. He certainly wasn’t claiming this to be … Continue reading
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(More) lessons from covid-19
“You never want a serious crisis to go to waste. And what I mean by that [is] it’s an opportunity to do things that you think you could not before.”– Rahm Emanuel (Wall Street Journal interview, November 19, 2008) Covid-19 … Continue reading
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covid-19 as vaccination for tomorrow. Part 2.
Picking up from the previous LOTRW post: Okay, Bill, where does the covid-19-as-vaccine concept come in? Convince me. Start close. Covid-19 is proving deadly. But it’s a mere “cowpox” compared with other more serious disease threats that have concerned public health officials … Continue reading
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Living on the Real World? We’d better have a plan for extremes.
Today the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released a special report on climate change and disasters that has been years in the making. It has a lengthy but descriptive title: Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and … Continue reading
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A dose of reality about hazards
Reality: The Earth does much of its business through extreme events. The reason that the Arctic and Antarctic aren’t even colder? And that the equator isn’t warmer? In the winter hemisphere, about half of the heat transport from equator to … Continue reading
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