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My dad, the statistician, used to lecture my brother and me on the importance of population size. He would say “in a town of 800 people, serious crime is a rare thing, almost unheard of. But in a population of … Continue reading →

Happy Earth Day 2024. Ask people worldwide “is climate change a problem?” and the answer is usually a clear “yes.”  But ask a follow-up, “what is the real nature of that problem?” and the picture is murkier. Answers might range … Continue reading →

“Je pense, donc je suis…irrationnel” – (with apologies to both Rene Descartes and Daniel Kahneman) According to Psychology Today, …dreams are about events from our waking lives, including real events and modified ones. About 70% of dream content is based on events … Continue reading →

The previous LOTRW post focused on the growth and importance of AI to the meteorology and to the AMS 2024 Annual Meeting. To recap: The rapid growth of AI’s capabilities and reach are transforming research and science-based services in meteorology, … Continue reading →

In a lawsuit the first to speak seems right, until someone comes forward and cross-examines. – Proverbs 18:17 When I posted Part 4 a week ago, I breathed a sigh of relief. I figured this string had run its course, … Continue reading →

“Don’t fix the blame. Fix the problem.” – (origin unclear…) Happy Thanksgiving! Climate reparations are indeed no place for wishful thinking – but perhaps the topic could stand a bit of thankful thinking. And when better to acknowledge this than … Continue reading →

Earlier LOTRW posts revisited the two of the three simultaneous challenges to living on the real world – building resilience to Earth’s hazards, and accessing Earth’s resources (with a focus on water). Today’s post returns to the third: minimizing the … Continue reading →

On November 5th, the Nation and the world lost a towering figure. Only a relative handful may have known his name. But all eight billion people worldwide owe Richard Hallgren a debt of thanks every day for his contributions to … Continue reading →

Recent LOTRW posts noted that the real world punishes us if we fail to face hazards realistically. What does realism demand? That we do better than merely redistribute risk; that instead we actually reduce it. We need to go beyond … Continue reading →

(For starters, I hope that all of you who read the previous LOTRW post on hazards will revisit that post and read John Plodinec’s thoughtful comments). Here are just a few examples of articles published this past week that shed … Continue reading →